Results & ROI by confidence
The headline question: do our 9s beat our 5s? Every graded pick counts. Pushes and voids stake 0. Levels with fewer than 30 picks are marked.
Pre-launch testing: picks shown here include test picks and the record will restart at launch.
By confidence level
Overall: +2.01u · +89.2% ROI · 3-0-2
| Confidence | Picks | W-L-P | Staked | Profit | ROI | Avg odds | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6* | 5 | 3-0-2 | 2.25u | +2.01u | +89.2% | +13 | — |
| All* | 5 | 3-0-2 | 2.25u | +2.01u | +89.2% | +13 | — |
* fewer than 30 graded picks at that level. Pushes and voids count in P, stake 0. ROI = profit ÷ units staked on decided bets. CLV = closing implied probability − our implied probability (positive means we beat the close).
ROI by confidence
Bar labels: confidence level; small number = picks. Faded bars have fewer than 30 picks.
Cumulative units
By league
| NFL | 3-0-2 | +2.01u | +89.2% |
Straight vs parlay
| Straight bets | 2-0-2 | +1.78u | +88.9% |
| Parlays | 1-0-0 | +0.23u | +90.8% |
Model vs manual
| Manual | 3-0-2 | +2.01u | +89.2% |
Model picks are drafted and published automatically behind the guardrails on the methodology page; manual picks are the owner's own calls and are tracked separately so neither record hides behind the other.